Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004165 0.004380 0.004600 0.004843 0.005104 0.005376 0.005681
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003739 0.004055 0.004391 0.004779 0.005215 0.005691 0.006254
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003550 0.003931 0.004351 0.004849 0.005428 0.006084 0.006889
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003369 0.003793 0.004269 0.004849 0.005542 0.006349 0.007373
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003203 0.003654 0.004172 0.004815 0.005601 0.006540 0.007765
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003035 0.003501 0.004045 0.004732 0.005588 0.006634 0.008030
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002896 0.003375 0.003940 0.004667 0.005588 0.006735 0.008304
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002806 0.003302 0.003896 0.004670 0.005669 0.006939 0.008714
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002648 0.003138 0.003731 0.004513 0.005534 0.006853 0.008728
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002581 0.003084 0.003700 0.004522 0.005615 0.007049 0.009133
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002563 0.003090 0.003743 0.004629 0.005825 0.007426 0.009809
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002478 0.003007 0.003668 0.004574 0.005814 0.007499 0.010053
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002401 0.002933 0.003604 0.004534 0.005822 0.007600 0.010345
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002321 0.002853 0.003529 0.004475 0.005802 0.007660 0.010578
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002296 0.002842 0.003544 0.004539 0.005956 0.007974 0.011216
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002247 0.002799 0.003515 0.004539 0.006017 0.008154 0.011653
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002190 0.002742 0.003464 0.004508 0.006030 0.008261 0.011980
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002119 0.002666 0.003385 0.004432 0.005974 0.008259 0.012125
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002058 0.002600 0.003319 0.004372 0.005938 0.008287 0.012320
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002022 0.002568 0.003297 0.004375 0.005996 0.008461 0.012770
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001938 0.002467 0.003176 0.004231 0.005826 0.008267 0.012576
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001908 0.002441 0.003161 0.004240 0.005889 0.008448 0.013043
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001909 0.002458 0.003205 0.004337 0.006092 0.008862 0.013952